Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Krebs on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Krebs 45.9% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Krebs leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Krebs 88.2%
Defensive zone
Krebs 66.8%
Neutral zone
Krebs 77.6%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 80.1%
19.9%
80.1%
Evans
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
11
(17 meetings)
6
11
Evans
Krebs
Last 10: Evans 3-7 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
0
6
Evans
Krebs
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
0
Evans
Krebs
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krebs
4
5
Evans
Krebs
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (3,695)
46.0% (2,159)
+7.8%
Power Play
60.0% (70)
52.5% (99)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,222)
38.6% (171)
+8.5%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,695).
Evans shoots right. Krebs is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (885).
Home / Away
Evans
Krebs
Home
53.4% (2,593)
45.7% (1,182)
Away
51.0% (2,394)
45.8% (1,247)
By Period
Evans
Krebs
P1
54.0%
45.9%
P2
50.9%
46.4%
P3
52.0%
44.8%
OT
46.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.4%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2025 | 1 | 11:41 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 01:13 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 12:06 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 3 | 10:50 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 3 | 01:39 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 2 | 18:28 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 2 | 09:50 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 1 | 14:47 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 3 | 04:35 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 1 | 12:41 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 02:21 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Oct 23, 2023 | 3 | 01:56 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 23, 2023 | 2 | 10:43 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 23, 2023 | 1 | 07:13 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 3 | 00:47 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |