Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Krebs on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Evans wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.6% vs Krebs 49.2% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Krebs leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Krebs 84.1%
Defensive zone
Evans 53.1%
Neutral zone
Krebs 71.0%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 73.8%
26.2%
73.8%
Evans
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Evans
Krebs
Last 10: Evans 3-7 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
0
4
Evans
Krebs
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Krebs
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krebs
2
3
Evans
Krebs
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (824)
49.5% (560)
+4.9%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
52.6% (38)
+14.1%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (289)
43.3% (67)
+4.8%
On power play, Evans has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Evans is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (838).
Evans shoots right. Krebs is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Evans
Krebs
Home
55.1% (541)
49.4% (314)
Away
50.8% (581)
48.7% (351)
By Period
Evans
Krebs
P1
51.8%
47.0%
P2
53.3%
50.5%
P3
53.8%
50.0%
OT
38.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.1%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2025 | 1 | 11:41 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 01:13 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 12:06 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 3 | 10:50 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 3 | 01:39 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 2 | 18:28 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 2 | 09:50 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 1 | 14:47 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |