Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +17.4% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Holmberg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 53.9% vs Holmberg 46.2% (+17.4%)
Offensive zone
Holmberg 70.6%
Defensive zone
Evans 84.1%
Neutral zone
Holmberg 52.0%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Evans
Holmberg
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Holmberg
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (349)
35.7% (42)
+17.9%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (161)
100.0% (1)
-44.1%
On penalty kill, Holmberg has a +44.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holmberg shoots left. Evans is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Evans shoots right. Holmberg is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (10).
Home / Away
Evans
Holmberg
Home
54.1% (290)
33.3% (27)
Away
55.2% (230)
43.8% (16)
By Period
Evans
Holmberg
P1
60.1%
69.2%
P2
53.5%
17.6%
P3
50.3%
30.8%
Final 5 min
53.8%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
57.0%
54.6%
Holmberg
40.0%▼
45.5%
37.2%