Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Holmberg 46.2% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Evans 72.3%
Defensive zone
Evans 95.5%
Neutral zone
Evans 90.5%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 88.3%
88.3%
11.7%
Evans
Holmberg
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Evans
Holmberg
Last 6: Evans 6-0 Holmberg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Holmberg
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Holmberg
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
4
0
Evans
Holmberg
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Holmberg
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (3,695)
45.5% (673)
+8.3%
Power Play
60.0% (70)
52.4% (21)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,222)
45.9% (61)
+1.2%
On even strength, Evans has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holmberg shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,695).
Evans shoots right. Holmberg is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (248).
Home / Away
Evans
Holmberg
Home
53.4% (2,593)
46.7% (418)
Away
51.0% (2,394)
44.5% (337)
By Period
Evans
Holmberg
P1
54.0%
53.5%
P2
50.9%
41.1%
P3
52.0%
42.5%
OT
46.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Holmberg
40.0%▼
46.5%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 15:06 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 09:32 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 18:30 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 17:05 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 09:05 | Neutral | Jake Evans |