Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 51.7% vs Holmberg 44.8% (+9.5%)
Offensive zone
Holmberg 71.1%
Defensive zone
Evans 71.4%
Neutral zone
Holmberg 51.2%
Result
Pontus Holmberg favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Evans
Holmberg
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Holmberg
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (483)
42.5% (207)
+12.0%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
40.0% (10)
+18.3%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (155)
50.0% (2)
-6.1%
On power play, Evans has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holmberg shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Evans shoots right. Holmberg is 37.8% vs right-shot opponents (74).
Home / Away
Evans
Holmberg
Home
49.4% (336)
40.9% (127)
Away
54.8% (314)
44.6% (92)
By Period
Evans
Holmberg
P1
55.8%
47.8%
P2
51.7%
43.8%
P3
48.2%
37.2%
Final 5 min
49.0%
34.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Holmberg
40.0%▼
46.5%
42.5%