Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +16.6% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Holmberg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 55.4% vs Holmberg 46.6% (+16.6%)
Offensive zone
Holmberg 71.6%
Defensive zone
Evans 85.3%
Neutral zone
Evans 52.7%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Evans
Holmberg
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Holmberg
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (477)
39.1% (46)
+17.1%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (204)
50.0% (2)
+5.4%
On even strength, Evans has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holmberg shoots left. Evans is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (516).
Evans shoots right. Holmberg is 41.7% vs right-shot opponents (12).
Home / Away
Evans
Holmberg
Home
55.3% (374)
37.5% (32)
Away
57.1% (317)
43.8% (16)
By Period
Evans
Holmberg
P1
58.5%
71.4%
P2
55.7%
21.1%
P3
53.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.3%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
56.2%
Holmberg
40.0%▼
46.5%
39.6%