Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.0% vs Holmberg 47.5% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Holmberg 60.7%
Defensive zone
Evans 79.5%
Neutral zone
Evans 69.5%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 69.5%
69.5%
30.5%
Evans
Holmberg
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Evans
Holmberg
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Holmberg
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Holmberg
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (807)
45.7% (175)
+8.7%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
75.0% (8)
-20.0%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (310)
40.0% (20)
+6.1%
On power play, Holmberg has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holmberg shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Evans shoots right. Holmberg is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Home / Away
Evans
Holmberg
Home
53.7% (581)
50.9% (112)
Away
50.5% (556)
40.7% (91)
By Period
Evans
Holmberg
P1
54.6%
47.1%
P2
50.0%
45.7%
P3
52.3%
46.2%
Final 5 min
49.6%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Holmberg
40.0%▼
46.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 09:05 | Neutral | Jake Evans |