Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.8% vs 50.5%). Evans wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 49.8% vs Johnson 50.3% (-0.7%)
Offensive zone
Evans 57.0%
Defensive zone
Johnson 56.9%
Neutral zone
Evans 54.0%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Evans
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (739)
51.0% (196)
+0.3%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
50.0% (2)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (172)
42.9% (14)
+0.1%
On power play, Evans has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Evans is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Evans shoots right. Johnson is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (70).
Home / Away
Evans
Johnson
Home
52.1% (503)
48.8% (125)
Away
47.0% (423)
52.9% (87)
By Period
Evans
Johnson
P1
50.5%
54.2%
P2
47.7%
44.2%
P3
51.3%
54.8%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Johnson
54.0%▲
51.0%
50.5%