Scouting Report
Reese Johnson holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 56.8% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 51.7% vs Johnson 52.1% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 51.5%
Defensive zone
Evans 51.0%
Neutral zone
Johnson 54.3%
Result
Reese Johnson favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Evans
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Evans
Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (483)
55.4% (186)
-0.9%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
100.0% (3)
-41.7%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (155)
37.8% (37)
+6.1%
On power play, Johnson has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Evans is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Evans shoots right. Johnson is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (72).
Home / Away
Evans
Johnson
Home
49.4% (336)
51.6% (95)
Away
54.8% (314)
54.2% (131)
By Period
Evans
Johnson
P1
55.8%
46.7%
P2
51.7%
50.5%
P3
48.2%
58.9%
Final 5 min
49.0%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Johnson
54.0%▲
51.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 02:58 | Offensive | Jake Evans |