Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 51.9%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.0% vs Johnson 50.8% (+0.3%)
Offensive zone
Johnson 64.6%
Defensive zone
Evans 68.3%
Neutral zone
Evans 51.0%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Evans
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (807)
56.9% (51)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (310)
43.3% (30)
+2.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Evans is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Evans shoots right. Johnson is 65.2% vs right-shot opponents (23).
Home / Away
Evans
Johnson
Home
53.7% (581)
56.3% (32)
Away
50.5% (556)
49.0% (49)
By Period
Evans
Johnson
P1
54.6%
55.6%
P2
50.0%
48.0%
P3
52.3%
51.7%
Final 5 min
49.6%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Johnson
54.0%▲
51.0%
51.9%