Scouting Report
Rourke Chartier holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 51.7% vs Chartier 51.9% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chartier 64.7%
Defensive zone
Evans 69.8%
Neutral zone
Chartier 52.3%
Result
Rourke Chartier favored at 64.7%
35.3%
64.7%
Evans
Chartier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Evans
Chartier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Chartier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Chartier
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (483)
59.3% (27)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (155)
50.0% (6)
-6.1%
On penalty kill, Chartier has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chartier shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Evans shoots right. Chartier is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (12).
Home / Away
Evans
Chartier
Home
49.4% (336)
54.5% (11)
Away
54.8% (314)
59.1% (22)
By Period
Evans
Chartier
P1
55.8%
56.3%
P2
51.7%
55.6%
P3
48.2%
62.5%
Final 5 min
49.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Chartier
60.0%▲
50.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2022 | 1 | 13:08 | Offensive | Jake Evans |