Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Chartier on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Chartier 50.0% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Evans 50.6%
Defensive zone
Evans 71.4%
Neutral zone
Evans 50.6%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Evans
Chartier
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Evans
Chartier
Last 9: Evans 5-4 Chartier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
0
Evans
Chartier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
3
0
Evans
Chartier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chartier
0
4
Evans
Chartier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Chartier
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (3,695)
50.8% (329)
+3.0%
Power Play
60.0% (70)
66.7% (6)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,222)
45.6% (79)
+1.5%
On power play, Chartier has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chartier shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,695).
Evans shoots right. Chartier is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (137).
Home / Away
Evans
Chartier
Home
53.4% (2,593)
48.3% (240)
Away
51.0% (2,394)
52.3% (174)
By Period
Evans
Chartier
P1
54.0%
51.5%
P2
50.9%
48.1%
P3
52.0%
50.3%
Final 5 min
50.4%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Chartier
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 17:37 | Neutral | Rourke Chartier |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 16:56 | Neutral | Rourke Chartier |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 09:07 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 15:16 | Neutral | Rourke Chartier |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 09:51 | Neutral | Rourke Chartier |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 05:54 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 12:07 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 11:59 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 14, 2022 | 1 | 13:08 | Offensive | Jake Evans |