Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 49.8% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 90.1%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 69.4%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 77.8%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 79.8%
20.2%
79.8%
Evans
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Evans
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (739)
56.6% (1,064)
-5.3%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
60.4% (260)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (172)
54.0% (261)
-11.0%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Evans is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Evans shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (582).
Home / Away
Evans
O'Reilly
Home
52.1% (503)
54.9% (801)
Away
47.0% (423)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Evans
O'Reilly
P1
50.5%
58.0%
P2
47.7%
56.7%
P3
51.3%
55.4%
OT
40.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
51.1%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
49.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 06:26 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 1 | 10:20 | Offensive | Jake Evans |