Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 49.8% vs Monahan 52.8% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 58.5%
Defensive zone
Evans 87.4%
Neutral zone
Evans 61.6%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 64.5%
64.5%
35.5%
Evans
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Evans
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Evans
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Evans
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (739)
51.5% (641)
-0.2%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
62.8% (129)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (172)
33.3% (9)
+9.7%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Evans is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Evans shoots right. Monahan is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Evans
Monahan
Home
52.1% (503)
53.9% (362)
Away
47.0% (423)
52.5% (417)
By Period
Evans
Monahan
P1
50.5%
48.0%
P2
47.7%
57.0%
P3
51.3%
54.1%
OT
40.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2022 | 1 | 00:30 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 15:30 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 15:27 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 03:30 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |