Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 51.3%). Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 25 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Monahan 51.3% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 29-25 in 54 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 83.9%
Defensive zone
Evans 82.1%
Neutral zone
Monahan 53.2%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Evans
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
29
(54 meetings)
25
29
Evans
Monahan
Last 10: Evans 6-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
5
20
Evans
Monahan
25 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
16
3
Evans
Monahan
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
4
6
Evans
Monahan
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (3,695)
51.1% (11,356)
+2.7%
Power Play
60.0% (70)
53.7% (2,580)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,222)
46.0% (766)
+1.1%
On power play, Evans has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,695).
Evans shoots right. Monahan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (5,401).
Home / Away
Evans
Monahan
Home
53.4% (2,593)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
51.0% (2,394)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
Evans
Monahan
P1
54.0%
50.9%
P2
50.9%
51.7%
P3
52.0%
51.0%
OT
46.5%
53.5%
Final 5 min
50.4%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 08:02 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 12:05 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 10:36 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 10:26 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 10:27 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 06:58 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 11:25 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 11:11 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 00:10 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 15:44 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 18:45 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 16:30 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 07:42 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 02:51 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 17:25 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 07:38 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 14:59 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |