Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.9% vs 52.6%). Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Evans wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.6% vs Monahan 52.4% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 12-10 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 75.9%
Defensive zone
Evans 81.1%
Neutral zone
Monahan 56.4%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Evans
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
10
(22 meetings)
12
10
Evans
Monahan
Last 10: Evans 6-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
3
6
Evans
Monahan
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
6
0
Evans
Monahan
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
3
4
Evans
Monahan
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (824)
52.4% (853)
+2.0%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
58.6% (174)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (289)
46.5% (144)
+1.6%
On power play, Evans has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Evans is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (838).
Evans shoots right. Monahan is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Evans
Monahan
Home
55.1% (541)
53.4% (624)
Away
50.8% (581)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Evans
Monahan
P1
51.8%
53.7%
P2
53.3%
52.4%
P3
53.8%
51.6%
OT
38.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
51.1%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 11:25 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 11:11 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 00:10 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 15:44 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 18:45 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 16:30 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 07:42 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 02:51 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 17:25 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 07:38 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 14:59 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 12:52 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 09:37 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 01:19 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 13:35 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 13:15 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 06:24 | Defensive | Jake Evans |