Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 55.4% vs Pinto 50.7% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pinto 76.4%
Defensive zone
Pinto 50.5%
Neutral zone
Pinto 52.5%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Evans
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Evans
Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
1
Evans
Pinto
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (477)
50.2% (520)
+6.0%
Power Play
70.0% (10)
68.0% (25)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (204)
49.4% (89)
+6.0%
On even strength, Evans has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Evans is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Evans shoots right. Pinto is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (174).
Home / Away
Evans
Pinto
Home
55.3% (374)
48.8% (301)
Away
57.1% (317)
52.6% (333)
By Period
Evans
Pinto
P1
58.5%
51.2%
P2
55.7%
48.9%
P3
53.9%
53.3%
OT
66.7%
44.4%
Final 5 min
54.3%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
56.2%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 11:53 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |