Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.0% vs 52.1%). Evans wins 56.8% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 51.7% vs Pinto 51.9% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pinto 68.6%
Defensive zone
Evans 66.7%
Neutral zone
Pinto 51.4%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Evans
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Evans
Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
1
Evans
Pinto
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Pinto
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (483)
52.5% (825)
+2.0%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
40.0% (10)
+18.3%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (155)
44.4% (27)
-0.5%
On power play, Evans has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Evans is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Evans shoots right. Pinto is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (262).
Home / Away
Evans
Pinto
Home
49.4% (336)
52.8% (453)
Away
54.8% (314)
51.3% (409)
By Period
Evans
Pinto
P1
55.8%
49.0%
P2
51.7%
53.5%
P3
48.2%
53.7%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.0%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2022 | 2 | 02:09 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 14, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |