Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.6% vs Pinto 50.1% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Evans 55.5%
Defensive zone
Evans 76.1%
Neutral zone
Evans 60.1%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Evans
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Evans
Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Pinto
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
2
1
Evans
Pinto
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (824)
50.4% (779)
+4.0%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
55.2% (29)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (289)
44.9% (78)
+3.2%
On power play, Evans has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Evans is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Evans shoots right. Pinto is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (214).
Home / Away
Evans
Pinto
Home
55.1% (541)
52.4% (454)
Away
50.8% (581)
47.7% (432)
By Period
Evans
Pinto
P1
51.8%
48.1%
P2
53.3%
52.9%
P3
53.8%
49.3%
OT
38.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 03:32 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 16:42 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |