Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.0% vs Pinto 50.5% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pinto 61.6%
Defensive zone
Evans 75.5%
Neutral zone
Evans 51.3%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Evans
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Evans
Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
0
Evans
Pinto
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
1
Evans
Pinto
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (807)
51.2% (463)
+3.2%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
50.0% (14)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (310)
36.8% (19)
+9.3%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Evans is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Evans shoots right. Pinto is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Home / Away
Evans
Pinto
Home
53.7% (581)
52.2% (205)
Away
50.5% (556)
49.5% (291)
By Period
Evans
Pinto
P1
54.6%
48.7%
P2
50.0%
51.8%
P3
52.3%
51.2%
OT
46.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 17:12 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 14:32 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 01:30 | Offensive | Jake Evans |