Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Pinto on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 50.1% vs Pinto 45.2% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Evans 60.1%
Defensive zone
Evans 72.0%
Neutral zone
Evans 60.3%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Evans
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Evans
Pinto
Last 5: Evans 3-2 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Pinto
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Pinto
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
1
2
Evans
Pinto
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (320)
40.9% (88)
+11.3%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
60.0% (5)
+40.0%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (83)
35.3% (17)
+5.7%
On power play, Evans has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Evans is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Evans shoots right. Pinto is 25.6% vs right-shot opponents (39).
Home / Away
Evans
Pinto
Home
54.3% (223)
39.6% (48)
Away
45.1% (182)
41.9% (62)
By Period
Evans
Pinto
P1
53.9%
37.0%
P2
44.9%
48.6%
P3
52.5%
37.9%
Final 5 min
46.8%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
40.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2021 | 1 | 11:22 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| May 5, 2021 | 1 | 08:28 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 17:50 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 11:22 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 04:43 | Offensive | Jake Evans |