Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 49.8% vs Hertl 52.3% (-2.7%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 69.9%
Defensive zone
Evans 64.9%
Neutral zone
Hertl 51.9%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Evans
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (739)
51.6% (1,084)
-0.3%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
61.0% (246)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (172)
44.1% (136)
-1.1%
On power play, Hertl has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Evans is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Evans shoots right. Hertl is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Evans
Hertl
Home
52.1% (503)
55.2% (696)
Away
47.0% (423)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Evans
Hertl
P1
50.5%
55.4%
P2
47.7%
54.8%
P3
51.3%
48.9%
OT
40.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.1%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%