Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Guentzel wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 50.4% vs Tavares 59.8% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 55.3%
Defensive zone
Tavares 61.5%
Neutral zone
Guentzel 51.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Guentzel
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Guentzel
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Guentzel
Tavares
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Guentzel
Tavares
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Guentzel
1
0
Guentzel
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (20)
60.9% (1,043)
-15.9%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
60.4% (278)
+14.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
47.6% (21)
+52.4%
On penalty kill, Guentzel has a +52.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Guentzel is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Guentzel shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Tavares
Home
56.3% (16)
63.5% (684)
Away
44.4% (9)
57.6% (658)
By Period
Guentzel
Tavares
P1
20.0%
60.3%
P2
57.1%
60.4%
P3
80.0%
60.1%
OT
0.0%
92.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
52.0%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2022 | 1 | 01:10 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 11:01 | Neutral | Jake Guentzel |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 16:57 | Offensive | John Tavares |