Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Guentzel wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 50.4% vs Staal 56.8% (-5.3%)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 63.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 75.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 55.8%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Guentzel
Staal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (20)
58.9% (1,041)
-13.9%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
53.4% (73)
+21.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
49.1% (171)
+50.9%
On penalty kill, Guentzel has a +50.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Guentzel is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Guentzel shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Staal
Home
56.3% (16)
59.0% (578)
Away
44.4% (9)
55.9% (707)
By Period
Guentzel
Staal
P1
20.0%
57.1%
P2
57.1%
60.9%
P3
80.0%
55.8%
OT
0.0%
20.8%
Final 5 min
50.0%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
52.0%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%