Scouting Report
Jake Guentzel holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Guentzel wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 50.4% vs McLeod 47.7% (+4.8%)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 57.1%
Defensive zone
McLeod 73.5%
Neutral zone
Guentzel 52.1%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Guentzel
McLeod
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (20)
47.8% (448)
-2.8%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
48.1% (52)
+26.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
36.0% (25)
+64.0%
On penalty kill, Guentzel has a +64.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Guentzel is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Guentzel shoots left. McLeod is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Guentzel
McLeod
Home
56.3% (16)
46.6% (253)
Away
44.4% (9)
47.8% (272)
By Period
Guentzel
McLeod
P1
20.0%
43.9%
P2
57.1%
45.9%
P3
80.0%
52.1%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
52.0%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.2%