Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 46.9% vs McLeod 52.1% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 91.4%
Defensive zone
McLeod 64.3%
Neutral zone
Guentzel 71.2%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Guentzel
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Guentzel
McLeod
Last 6: Guentzel 1-5 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
1
0
Guentzel
McLeod
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
5
Guentzel
McLeod
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (256)
52.9% (904)
-6.8%
Power Play
47.5% (122)
57.6% (59)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
49.0% (241)
-32.3%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +32.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Guentzel is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Guentzel shoots left. McLeod is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (784).
Home / Away
Guentzel
McLeod
Home
49.3% (201)
51.8% (612)
Away
42.6% (183)
52.9% (592)
By Period
Guentzel
McLeod
P1
49.6%
55.4%
P2
45.6%
50.8%
P3
41.6%
51.6%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
44.7%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.1%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 16:36 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 09:35 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 08:11 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 06:00 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 08:23 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 07:16 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |