Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.0% vs 52.4%). Guentzel wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 50.4% vs Aho 52.2% (-0.4%)
Offensive zone
Aho 50.4%
Defensive zone
Aho 66.9%
Neutral zone
Guentzel 50.0%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Guentzel
Aho
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (20)
51.6% (819)
-6.6%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
58.4% (173)
+16.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
46.3% (67)
+53.7%
On penalty kill, Guentzel has a +53.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Guentzel is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Guentzel shoots left. Aho is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Aho
Home
56.3% (16)
53.9% (568)
Away
44.4% (9)
50.7% (491)
By Period
Guentzel
Aho
P1
20.0%
55.4%
P2
57.1%
51.2%
P3
80.0%
50.9%
OT
0.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
52.0%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.4%