Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 50.0% vs Aho 51.2% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 64.1%
Defensive zone
Aho 64.2%
Neutral zone
Aho 51.3%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 64.1%
35.9%
64.1%
Guentzel
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Guentzel
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
1
0
Guentzel
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (13)
48.5% (778)
-2.3%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
63.4% (191)
+36.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
50.8% (65)
-50.8%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +50.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Guentzel is 66.7% vs left-shot opponents (9).
Guentzel shoots left. Aho is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Aho
Home
75.0% (8)
51.3% (530)
Away
25.0% (8)
51.4% (504)
By Period
Guentzel
Aho
P1
62.5%
50.0%
P2
50.0%
51.3%
P3
33.3%
52.1%
Final 5 min
0.0%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
50.0%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 02:37 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |