Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.7% vs 53.0%). Look for Benn on defensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Benn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Benn 52.9% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Benn leads 20-8 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 64.6%
Defensive zone
Larkin 58.5%
Neutral zone
Benn 53.5%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Larkin
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
20
(28 meetings)
8
20
Larkin
Benn
Last 10: Larkin 2-8 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
4
6
Larkin
Benn
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
3
10
Larkin
Benn
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
1
4
Larkin
Benn
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
53.5% (6,450)
-1.8%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
52.5% (2,054)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
49.3% (515)
+0.9%
On power play, Larkin has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,850).
Larkin shoots left. Benn is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,269).
Home / Away
Larkin
Benn
Home
54.0% (6,238)
54.9% (4,547)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
51.0% (4,488)
By Period
Larkin
Benn
P1
52.7%
51.9%
P2
53.1%
52.6%
P3
52.1%
54.0%
OT
58.4%
62.4%
Final 5 min
53.2%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 08:58 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 19, 2025 | 1 | 12:43 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 2 | 06:28 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 10, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 3 | 05:51 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 2 | 10:48 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 3 | 12:58 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 09:09 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 01:00 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 14:51 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 3 | 17:51 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 19:29 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 17:13 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 04:51 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 19, 2021 | OT | 01:09 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 2 | 13:47 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 1 | 11:53 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 1 | 11:46 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 14:41 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 6, 2019 | 2 | 16:53 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |