Jamie Benn vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2015-16 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Benn wins 40.7% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 47.8% vs Pageau 52.0% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 89.3%
Defensive zone
Pageau 62.0%
Neutral zone
Benn 68.7%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
Benn
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Benn
Pageau
Last 7: Benn 2-5 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
2
Benn
Pageau
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
2
Benn
Pageau
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
1
Benn
Pageau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (316)
54.1% (882)
-5.0%
Power Play
44.2% (147)
45.0% (60)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
46.8% (235)
-6.8%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Benn is 40.7% vs right-shot opponents (236).
Benn shoots left. Pageau is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (845).
Home / Away
Benn
Pageau
Home
50.0% (232)
54.7% (592)
Away
44.7% (246)
49.6% (585)
By Period
Benn
Pageau
P1
43.9%
51.0%
P2
45.6%
54.3%
P3
51.6%
51.8%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
43.4%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
52.0%▼
54.0%
47.3%
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2016 | 3 | 15:04 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 6, 2016 | 3 | 14:57 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 6, 2016 | 2 | 12:45 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 6, 2016 | 2 | 04:27 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 6, 2016 | 1 | 16:41 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 24, 2015 | 2 | 02:44 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 24, 2015 | 1 | 06:16 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |