Jamie Benn vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Benn wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 59.9% vs Pageau 55.0% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 89.7%
Defensive zone
Pageau 70.1%
Neutral zone
Benn 63.8%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 79.0%
79.0%
21.0%
Benn
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Benn
Pageau
Last 8: Benn 5-3 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
4
2
Benn
Pageau
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
1
Benn
Pageau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
Pageau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
62.6% (479)
57.1% (905)
+5.5%
Power Play
58.4% (190)
55.2% (116)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
58.1% (43)
48.0% (204)
+10.1%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Benn is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (328).
Benn shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Benn
Pageau
Home
60.5% (349)
57.0% (618)
Away
62.0% (363)
53.9% (607)
By Period
Benn
Pageau
P1
60.8%
54.4%
P2
60.1%
61.0%
P3
62.4%
51.0%
OT
83.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
62.4%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
61.2%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2024 | 3 | 15:03 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 3 | 13:27 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 2 | 13:32 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 2 | 05:21 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 1 | 19:23 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 2 | 11:35 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 2 | 08:49 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 1 | 14:05 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |