Jamie Benn vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 55.0% vs Pageau 58.7% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 77.4%
Defensive zone
Benn 52.3%
Neutral zone
Benn 63.4%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 69.0%
69.0%
31.0%
Benn
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Benn
Pageau
Last 6: Benn 2-4 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Benn
Pageau
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
2
Benn
Pageau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (365)
59.6% (711)
-3.7%
Power Play
56.8% (132)
64.0% (114)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (32)
56.4% (163)
-3.3%
On power play, Pageau has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Benn is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (200).
Benn shoots left. Pageau is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (763).
Home / Away
Benn
Pageau
Home
57.3% (267)
59.3% (506)
Away
54.6% (262)
60.0% (482)
By Period
Benn
Pageau
P1
54.3%
56.8%
P2
55.7%
64.4%
P3
58.1%
56.9%
Final 5 min
59.7%
61.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
56.0%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 16:22 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 14:59 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 15:41 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 08:19 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 19:15 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 04:00 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |