Jamie Benn vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.2% vs 55.3%). Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 54.7% vs Pageau 55.0% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 55.3%
Defensive zone
Pageau 73.5%
Neutral zone
Pageau 61.8%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Benn
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Benn
Pageau
Last 5: Benn 4-1 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
2
1
Benn
Pageau
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
2
0
Benn
Pageau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (709)
55.8% (1,000)
-0.5%
Power Play
58.3% (127)
56.6% (182)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (55)
51.2% (170)
-3.9%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Benn is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (348).
Benn shoots left. Pageau is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (983).
Home / Away
Benn
Pageau
Home
56.2% (443)
57.1% (674)
Away
54.2% (448)
53.5% (678)
By Period
Benn
Pageau
P1
55.4%
56.9%
P2
54.1%
54.5%
P3
55.6%
54.7%
OT
71.4%
52.9%
Final 5 min
58.9%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 17:58 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 17:51 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 13:28 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 03:29 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 17:53 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |