Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Benn wins 31.8% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 45.4% vs Pavelski 53.9% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 78.6%
Defensive zone
Benn 56.0%
Neutral zone
Benn 64.9%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Benn
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Benn
Pavelski
Last 6: Benn 2-4 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
Benn
Pavelski
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
2
Benn
Pavelski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
2
1
Benn
Pavelski
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (167)
53.4% (682)
-7.9%
Power Play
16.7% (12)
63.7% (168)
-47.0%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
48.1% (160)
-2.6%
On power play, Pavelski has a +47.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Benn is 31.8% vs right-shot opponents (66).
Benn shoots left. Pavelski is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Home / Away
Benn
Pavelski
Home
37.8% (90)
59.0% (527)
Away
47.6% (105)
49.3% (493)
By Period
Benn
Pavelski
P1
49.1%
50.8%
P2
37.3%
58.9%
P3
45.2%
53.6%
OT
33.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
47.5%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
43.1%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 3 | 15:54 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 16, 2010 | 2 | 13:30 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 18, 2010 | 2 | 15:10 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 18, 2010 | 2 | 11:56 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 18, 2010 | 1 | 07:16 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |