Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on defensive-zone draws (81% H2H, 37 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 52.9% vs Pavelski 54.1% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 51-33 in 84 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 79.5%
Defensive zone
Benn 61.1%
Neutral zone
Benn 67.0%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 68.7%
68.7%
31.3%
Benn
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
33
-
51
(84 meetings)
33
51
Benn
Pavelski
Last 10: Benn 6-4 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
20
9
Benn
Pavelski
29 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
7
30
Benn
Pavelski
37 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
6
12
Benn
Pavelski
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,450)
53.6% (8,791)
-0.1%
Power Play
52.5% (2,054)
58.2% (2,122)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (515)
50.9% (1,138)
-1.6%
On power play, Pavelski has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Benn is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,766).
Benn shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,103).
Home / Away
Benn
Pavelski
Home
54.9% (4,547)
56.4% (5,998)
Away
51.0% (4,488)
52.0% (6,076)
By Period
Benn
Pavelski
P1
51.9%
53.5%
P2
52.6%
55.2%
P3
54.0%
53.9%
OT
62.4%
52.3%
Final 5 min
53.6%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2018 | 3 | 06:27 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 2 | 15:53 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 3 | 19:49 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 3 | 09:11 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 2 | 05:17 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 2 | 00:18 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 1 | 12:39 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 1 | 01:10 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 2 | 12:50 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 2 | 09:07 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 1 | 03:45 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 3 | 19:18 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 3 | 03:38 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 2 | 13:44 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 2 | 05:45 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 1 | 03:21 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 12, 2017 | 2 | 05:57 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 12, 2017 | 1 | 08:05 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 12, 2017 | 1 | 07:41 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |