Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Benn wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 59.1% vs Pavelski 53.0% (+6.7%)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 51.2%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 61.5%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 56.3%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Benn
Pavelski
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
61.8% (584)
52.3% (560)
+9.5%
Power Play
56.7% (224)
57.5% (113)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (57)
62.5% (16)
-6.4%
On even strength, Benn has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Benn is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (397).
Benn shoots left. Pavelski is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Home / Away
Benn
Pavelski
Home
64.4% (433)
54.2% (360)
Away
55.8% (432)
52.6% (329)
By Period
Benn
Pavelski
P1
61.8%
54.5%
P2
59.6%
56.7%
P3
59.2%
50.8%
OT
55.6%
30.8%
Final 5 min
62.7%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
52.0%▼
54.0%
60.1%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%