Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Benn wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 59.9% vs Pavelski 50.9% (+10.1%)
Offensive zone
Benn 66.3%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 64.3%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 55.3%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Benn
Pavelski
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
62.6% (479)
51.5% (594)
+11.1%
Power Play
58.4% (190)
51.7% (87)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
58.1% (43)
28.6% (14)
+29.5%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +29.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Benn is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (328).
Benn shoots left. Pavelski is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (527).
Home / Away
Benn
Pavelski
Home
60.5% (349)
53.1% (339)
Away
62.0% (363)
49.2% (356)
By Period
Benn
Pavelski
P1
60.8%
53.8%
P2
60.1%
47.8%
P3
62.4%
50.2%
OT
83.3%
71.4%
Final 5 min
62.4%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
61.2%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.1%