Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 52.2% vs Pavelski 54.4% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 75.0%
Defensive zone
Benn 70.1%
Neutral zone
Benn 72.3%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 72.2%
72.2%
27.8%
Benn
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Benn
Pavelski
Last 9: Benn 2-7 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
3
Benn
Pavelski
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Benn
Pavelski
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
2
Benn
Pavelski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (534)
53.2% (690)
-0.2%
Power Play
54.4% (136)
61.5% (174)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (56)
55.3% (47)
-12.4%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Benn is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (319).
Benn shoots left. Pavelski is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (707).
Home / Away
Benn
Pavelski
Home
53.5% (383)
56.1% (421)
Away
51.3% (343)
53.9% (490)
By Period
Benn
Pavelski
P1
54.0%
57.1%
P2
51.7%
55.8%
P3
50.9%
52.5%
OT
75.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
53.2%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.5%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2018 | 2 | 12:50 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 2 | 09:07 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 1 | 03:45 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 3 | 19:18 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 3 | 03:38 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 2 | 13:44 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 2 | 05:45 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 1 | 03:21 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |