Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Benn wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 49.2% vs Pavelski 52.9% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 57.8%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 88.7%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 73.2%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 65.5%
34.5%
65.5%
Benn
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Benn
Pavelski
Last 8: Benn 5-3 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
5
1
Benn
Pavelski
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
2
Benn
Pavelski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (297)
54.0% (730)
-4.2%
Power Play
49.5% (97)
57.1% (156)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (24)
41.7% (103)
-4.2%
On power play, Pavelski has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Benn is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (200).
Benn shoots left. Pavelski is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Home / Away
Benn
Pavelski
Home
48.5% (227)
55.2% (458)
Away
49.7% (191)
51.4% (531)
By Period
Benn
Pavelski
P1
51.4%
54.0%
P2
40.4%
54.5%
P3
55.5%
50.5%
OT
100.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
43.4%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.0%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2018 | 3 | 06:27 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 2 | 15:53 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 3 | 19:49 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 3 | 09:11 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 2 | 05:17 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 2 | 00:18 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 1 | 12:39 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 1 | 01:10 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |