Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 20 meetings). Benn wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 52.9% vs Tavares 54.4% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 30-11 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 69.7%
Defensive zone
Benn 62.6%
Neutral zone
Benn 63.3%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 65.2%
65.2%
34.8%
Benn
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
30
(41 meetings)
11
30
Benn
Tavares
Last 10: Benn 2-8 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
5
9
Benn
Tavares
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
5
15
Benn
Tavares
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
6
Benn
Tavares
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,449)
54.0% (16,108)
-0.5%
Power Play
52.6% (2,053)
56.5% (4,283)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (515)
50.6% (620)
-1.3%
On power play, Tavares has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Benn is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,269).
Benn shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Home / Away
Benn
Tavares
Home
54.9% (4,545)
56.1% (10,503)
Away
51.0% (4,488)
52.7% (10,537)
By Period
Benn
Tavares
P1
51.9%
55.0%
P2
52.6%
54.1%
P3
54.0%
54.1%
OT
62.4%
55.9%
Final 5 min
53.6%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
53.0%
53.0%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2024 | 3 | 16:26 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 3 | 16:13 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 3 | 16:02 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 1 | 02:17 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 14:59 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 14:54 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 14:47 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 18:03 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 07:59 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 00:58 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 12:10 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 07:33 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 10:53 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 00:42 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 3 | 19:13 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 3 | 18:29 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 2 | 10:51 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 2 | 16:35 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 1 | 09:31 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 1 | 03:35 | Neutral | John Tavares |