Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Benn wins 58.7% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 55.0% vs Tavares 57.7% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 61.7%
Defensive zone
Benn 52.8%
Neutral zone
Benn 52.8%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Benn
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Benn
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
Tavares
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
3
Benn
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (365)
57.7% (998)
-1.8%
Power Play
56.8% (132)
60.5% (271)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (32)
56.4% (39)
-3.3%
On power play, Tavares has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Benn is 58.7% vs left-shot opponents (329).
Benn shoots left. Tavares is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Home / Away
Benn
Tavares
Home
57.3% (267)
59.7% (610)
Away
54.6% (262)
57.0% (698)
By Period
Benn
Tavares
P1
54.3%
57.2%
P2
55.7%
58.5%
P3
58.1%
59.4%
Final 5 min
59.7%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
56.0%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2024 | 3 | 16:26 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 3 | 16:13 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 3 | 16:02 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 1 | 02:17 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |