Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Benn wins 58.4% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 54.7% vs Tavares 59.8% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 67.8%
Defensive zone
Benn 80.9%
Neutral zone
Benn 69.0%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 72.4%
72.4%
27.6%
Benn
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Benn
Tavares
Last 6: Benn 0-6 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
3
Benn
Tavares
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Benn
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Benn
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (709)
60.9% (1,043)
-5.6%
Power Play
58.3% (127)
60.4% (278)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (55)
47.6% (21)
-0.3%
On even strength, Tavares has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Benn is 58.4% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Benn shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Benn
Tavares
Home
56.2% (443)
63.5% (684)
Away
54.2% (448)
57.6% (658)
By Period
Benn
Tavares
P1
55.4%
60.3%
P2
54.1%
60.4%
P3
55.6%
60.1%
OT
71.4%
92.3%
Final 5 min
58.9%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 07:59 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 00:58 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 12:10 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 07:33 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 10:53 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 00:42 | Neutral | John Tavares |