Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Benn wins 64.7% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 59.1% vs Tavares 57.7% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 52.2%
Defensive zone
Tavares 51.3%
Neutral zone
Tavares 65.0%
Result
John Tavares favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Benn
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Benn
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
2
Benn
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
61.8% (584)
57.5% (914)
+4.3%
Power Play
56.7% (224)
60.5% (309)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (57)
59.1% (22)
-3.0%
On even strength, Benn has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Benn is 64.7% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Benn shoots left. Tavares is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Home / Away
Benn
Tavares
Home
64.4% (433)
61.0% (661)
Away
55.8% (432)
55.3% (584)
By Period
Benn
Tavares
P1
61.8%
58.6%
P2
59.6%
57.8%
P3
59.2%
58.4%
OT
55.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
62.7%
63.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
60.1%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 14:54 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 14:47 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 18:03 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |