Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Benn wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 47.8% vs Draisaitl 48.5% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 63.2%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 75.8%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 72.1%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 69.4%
30.6%
69.4%
Benn
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Benn
Draisaitl
Last 9: Benn 8-1 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
3
1
Benn
Draisaitl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
3
0
Benn
Draisaitl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
2
0
Benn
Draisaitl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (316)
48.9% (894)
+0.2%
Power Play
44.2% (147)
44.8% (134)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
50.0% (10)
-10.0%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Benn is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (242).
Benn shoots left. Draisaitl is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Home / Away
Benn
Draisaitl
Home
50.0% (232)
52.5% (516)
Away
44.7% (246)
44.3% (522)
By Period
Benn
Draisaitl
P1
43.9%
48.2%
P2
45.6%
48.2%
P3
51.6%
48.8%
OT
100.0%
45.0%
Final 5 min
43.4%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
47.3%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2016 | 3 | 15:10 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 2 | 12:43 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 2 | 04:55 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 2 | 03:11 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 1 | 15:48 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 1 | 15:37 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 4, 2015 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 3 | 15:39 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 2 | 07:08 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |