Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Benn wins 67.2% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 59.9% vs Draisaitl 56.5% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 65.1%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 50.8%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 50.3%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Benn
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Benn
Draisaitl
Last 6: Benn 4-2 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
Draisaitl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
2
Benn
Draisaitl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
2
0
Benn
Draisaitl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
62.6% (479)
57.4% (1,010)
+5.2%
Power Play
58.4% (190)
56.2% (331)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
58.1% (43)
54.5% (110)
+3.6%
On even strength, Benn has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Benn is 67.2% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Benn shoots left. Draisaitl is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (894).
Home / Away
Benn
Draisaitl
Home
60.5% (349)
56.4% (734)
Away
62.0% (363)
57.5% (717)
By Period
Benn
Draisaitl
P1
60.8%
55.6%
P2
60.1%
62.1%
P3
62.4%
52.4%
OT
83.3%
61.5%
Final 5 min
62.4%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
61.2%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2024 | 2 | 13:34 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 2 | 13:16 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 05:58 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 12:14 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 18:56 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 12:10 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |