Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Benn wins 58.7% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 55.0% vs Draisaitl 54.0% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 53.6%
Defensive zone
Benn 53.9%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 54.2%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Benn
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Benn
Draisaitl
Last 6: Benn 3-3 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
1
Benn
Draisaitl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
3
2
Benn
Draisaitl
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (365)
53.7% (923)
+2.2%
Power Play
56.8% (132)
56.1% (244)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (32)
58.6% (29)
-5.5%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Benn is 58.7% vs left-shot opponents (329).
Benn shoots left. Draisaitl is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Home / Away
Benn
Draisaitl
Home
57.3% (267)
55.2% (636)
Away
54.6% (262)
53.4% (560)
By Period
Benn
Draisaitl
P1
54.3%
50.8%
P2
55.7%
56.6%
P3
58.1%
54.0%
Final 5 min
59.7%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
56.0%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 11:32 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 07:21 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 07:14 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 07:00 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 10:11 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 11:10 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |