Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Benn wins 64.7% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 59.1% vs Draisaitl 54.6% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 75.3%
Defensive zone
Benn 50.3%
Neutral zone
Benn 50.2%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 70.3%
70.3%
29.7%
Benn
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Benn
Draisaitl
Last 5: Benn 4-1 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
3
1
Benn
Draisaitl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
Draisaitl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
61.8% (584)
52.4% (974)
+9.4%
Power Play
56.7% (224)
59.5% (373)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (57)
61.0% (123)
-4.9%
On even strength, Benn has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Benn is 64.7% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Benn shoots left. Draisaitl is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Home / Away
Benn
Draisaitl
Home
64.4% (433)
54.5% (778)
Away
55.8% (432)
55.3% (692)
By Period
Benn
Draisaitl
P1
61.8%
54.6%
P2
59.6%
56.1%
P3
59.2%
53.3%
OT
55.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
62.7%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
60.1%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2022 | 1 | 17:45 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 06:54 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 15:06 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 13:47 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 07:12 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |