Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Benn wins 64.7% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 59.1% vs Frost 46.2% (+14.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 89.2%
Defensive zone
Benn 82.2%
Neutral zone
Benn 75.3%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 82.2%
82.2%
17.8%
Benn
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Benn
Frost
Last 9: Benn 7-2 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
2
1
Benn
Frost
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
3
0
Benn
Frost
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
2
1
Benn
Frost
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
61.8% (584)
45.6% (833)
+16.2%
Power Play
56.7% (224)
46.0% (100)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (57)
55.6% (18)
+0.5%
On even strength, Benn has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Benn is 64.7% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Benn shoots left. Frost is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (625).
Home / Away
Benn
Frost
Home
64.4% (433)
47.0% (440)
Away
55.8% (432)
44.8% (511)
By Period
Benn
Frost
P1
61.8%
42.5%
P2
59.6%
47.9%
P3
59.2%
46.6%
OT
55.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
62.7%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
60.1%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 08:15 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 13:07 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 03:51 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 03:43 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 00:57 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 2 | 02:43 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 1 | 15:57 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 1 | 01:28 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 1 | 01:20 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |