Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Benn wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 52.9% vs Frost 50.3% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Benn leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 61.0%
Defensive zone
Benn 61.3%
Neutral zone
Benn 60.7%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Benn
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Benn
Frost
Last 10: Benn 5-5 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Benn
Frost
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
3
1
Benn
Frost
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
3
2
Benn
Frost
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,450)
49.4% (3,598)
+4.1%
Power Play
52.5% (2,054)
55.5% (625)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (515)
52.8% (36)
-3.5%
On even strength, Benn has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Benn is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,269).
Benn shoots left. Frost is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Home / Away
Benn
Frost
Home
54.9% (4,547)
51.0% (2,047)
Away
51.0% (4,488)
49.7% (2,212)
By Period
Benn
Frost
P1
51.9%
50.8%
P2
52.6%
51.1%
P3
54.0%
48.5%
OT
62.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.6%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 04:53 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 00:56 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 05:40 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 12:02 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 14:58 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 08:15 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 13:07 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 03:51 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 03:43 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 00:57 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 2 | 02:43 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 1 | 15:57 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 1 | 01:28 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 1 | 01:20 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 3 | 16:35 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |