Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Benn wins 58.7% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 55.0% vs Frost 51.1% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 58.9%
Defensive zone
Frost 52.3%
Neutral zone
Frost 51.1%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Benn
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Benn
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
Frost
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Benn
Frost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Benn
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (365)
50.3% (825)
+5.6%
Power Play
56.8% (132)
54.9% (204)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (32)
50.0% (4)
+3.1%
On even strength, Benn has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Benn is 58.7% vs left-shot opponents (329).
Benn shoots left. Frost is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Benn
Frost
Home
57.3% (267)
50.7% (489)
Away
54.6% (262)
51.7% (544)
By Period
Benn
Frost
P1
54.3%
53.6%
P2
55.7%
47.8%
P3
58.1%
52.0%
Final 5 min
59.7%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
56.0%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 04:53 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 00:56 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 05:40 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |