Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Benn wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 59.1% vs Bjugstad 48.0% (+12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 81.0%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 85.9%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 61.1%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 66.8%
33.2%
66.8%
Benn
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Benn
Bjugstad
Last 7: Benn 3-4 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
2
0
Benn
Bjugstad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
4
Benn
Bjugstad
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
61.8% (584)
49.4% (867)
+12.4%
Power Play
56.7% (224)
56.0% (25)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (57)
40.7% (216)
+15.4%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Benn is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (397).
Benn shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (796).
Home / Away
Benn
Bjugstad
Home
64.4% (433)
46.5% (480)
Away
55.8% (432)
48.9% (628)
By Period
Benn
Bjugstad
P1
61.8%
48.7%
P2
59.6%
45.6%
P3
59.2%
49.1%
OT
55.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
62.7%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
60.1%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 17:50 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 05:41 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 10:07 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 13:34 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 08:48 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 08:59 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 04:58 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |